Emkay Wealth Management's Dr. Joseph Thomas anticipates a potential RBI rate cut in 2025 amid controlled inflation and growth imperatives. He navigates global volatility from tariff tensions and US bond yield fluctuations, highlighting India's improving earnings and IPO surge. Opportunities exist for long-term investors in SMIDs, infrastructure, PSU equities, consumer discretionary, healthcare, technology, and utilities sectors.
Edelweiss Mutual Fund maintains low cash levels, believing in stock picking over market timing. Radhika Gupta highlights SIPs as a reliable investment strategy. Smallcap returns have recovered, but earnings growth is crucial. The firm avoids taking cash calls in equity funds, focusing on sector selection. Gupta advises a balanced asset allocation with fixed income, gold, and international funds.
REC Share Price: The REC board has approved a Rs 1.55 lakh crore fundraising plan through bonds and proposed the strike-off of Rajgarh III Power Transmission Ltd, a project-specific SPV. The decision to dissolve the SPV comes after the government de-notified the associated project.
BofA Securities reports the residential real estate sector is in its fifth year of an upcycle, characterized by demand exceeding supply. While luxury housing initially drove growth, a more balanced contribution from mid-segment and affordable housing is anticipated. Developers can expect continued booking growth, though volume growth was challenging in the past year, larger companies are consolidating the market.
US stock market saw a mixed closing. S&P 500 was flat, Nasdaq rose slightly, and Dow Jones fell. Trade policies and weak economic data impacted market performance. The services sector contracted, and input prices increased. Investors are awaiting further labor market data. Tariff negotiations between the US and its trading partners remain a key focus for investors.
Asian shares displayed caution as weak US economic data bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Treasury yields stabilized after a rally, while the dollar weakened. Markets are closely watching Japan's super-long-term bond auction amid concerns about demand. US economic activity has slowed, raising fears about equity market valuations.
Indian corporates are increasingly favoring the bond market, particularly short-term bonds, due to banks' slow response to rate cuts. Liquidity infusion by the RBI has significantly lowered short-term bond yields, prompting this shift. AAA-rated companies find bond yields more attractive than bank MCLR rates, while lower-rated firms may still prefer bank credit.
Trump Media & Technology Group is nearing the launch of a Bitcoin ETF under the Truth Social brand, pending regulatory approval. The ETF, sponsored by Yorkville America Digital, will invest directly in Bitcoin. This move aligns with President Trump's pro-Bitcoin stance, potentially attracting investors despite a crowded ETF market, while raising ethical concerns due to Trump's financial ties.
